By Keith Regan E-Commerce Times
06/19/03 10:54 AM PT
Temkin noted that PeopleSoft likely moved up its deal with Edwards in an effort to close it before Oracle's various maneuvers can take hold.
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PeopleSoft said Thursday that it has commenced its offer to buy software maker J.D. Edwards, forging ahead with the US$1.75 billion deal despite the best efforts of Oracle (Nasdaq: ORCL) to squash the merger.
PeopleSoft put its new stock-and-cash offer into effect, offering each J.D. Edwards shareholder $7.05 in cash, plus a fractional share of PeopleSoft stock. Pleasanton, California-based PeopleSoft said the deal values J.D. Edwards at $14.33 per share. The offer is set to expire July 17th.
Better Than Expected
In addition to commencing the bid -- the latest development in what has become a high-profile business soap opera with new twists each day -- PeopleSoft also revised its estimates of what the acquisition will mean to its bottom line. It now says it expects the takeover to be "significantly accretive" to its 2004 earnings per share, a more optimistic view than it previously offered.
Forrester Research analyst Bruce Temkin said the PeopleSoft bid is moving forward under a massive shadow, as a decision by Oracle to up its own bid to buy PeopleSoft will probably convince a majority of PeopleSoft shareholders to sell.
"If shareholders get excited about this new offer, it might be enough to give pause over the Edwards deal," Temkin told the E-Commerce Times. "But at this point, there is more uncertainty than anything else."
In fact, Temkin noted that PeopleSoft likely moved up its deal with Edwards in an effort to close it before Oracle's various maneuvers can take hold.
Layoffs Ahead
Temkin also said he expects Oracle will have to slash many of PeopleSoft's employees. He suggested that new opportunities will be created for firms that are willing to take over maintaining and updating PeopleSoft applications already installed at enterprises.
"We expect some of the firms in that space to start aggressively marketing their services to help calm the fears that are out there," he added.
No Thanks
PeopleSoft management has yet to formally respond to the new Oracle bid, which adds $1.2 billion to the original value of the deal, bringing it to a total of $6.3 billion. Oracle said it arrived at the new price after discussions with major PeopleSoft shareholders.
PeopleSoft's board rejected Oracle's initial offer, citing both the price and regulatory concerns. On Wednesday, Connecticut's attorney general vowed to fight Oracle's takeover of PeopleSoft on grounds that it would violate antitrust laws.
Oracle Ups PeopleSoft Bid by $1.2B June 18, 2003
Oracle spokesperson Jim Finn told the E-Commerce Times that the company raised its bid after meeting with owners of PeopleSoft stock. "We heard the deal seemed to make a lot of sense ... but the price wasn't what they were hoping for," he said.
PeopleSoft Rejects Oracle Bid; J.D. Edwards Sues June 13, 2003
J.D. Edwards alleges in its lawsuit that when Charles Phillips, formerly a Morgan Stanley analyst, joined Oracle less than a month ago, he brought with him knowledge of J.D. Edwards' business and its possible deal with PeopleSoft.
Oracle Speaks - and the Whiners Should Listen June 11, 2003
Oracle needs any growth it can get in the applications market. That opportunity would have been thwarted by the PeopleSoft/J.D. Edwards deal, and Oracle knew it.
Inside Oracle's High-Stakes PeopleSoft Grab June 09, 2003
Forrester analyst Byron Miller suggested that Oracle's strategy might end up backfiring. "Just because Oracle takes over [PeopleSoft's customer base] doesn't mean PeopleSoft people will stay in Oracle's camp. SAP may end up being the beneficiary."
Oracle Launches Surprise Bid To Buy PeopleSoft June 06, 2003
Oracle CEO Larry Ellison indicated that Oracle will not sell PeopleSoft's product lines to new customers but will continue to provide support for existing software programs.
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