By Jennifer LeClaire E-Commerce Times
07/29/02 11:04 AM PT
Servers that are coming up for replacement will likely be replaced by cheaper blade
servers, which offer good retrun on investment but will not much move the server market.
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The worldwide server market continues
to struggle through the economic doldrums,
according to Garter Dataquest, gaining a mere 0.5 percent in the second quarter.
Worldwide server shipments totaled 1.08 million.
Analysts said uncertain market conditions are preventing companies from purchasing
high-end servers, changing to new platforms and singing big contracts.
"For the time being, customers are focusing on deployments that can yield quick return
on investment by purchasing less expensive systems or upgrading their established
systems, if necessary," said Gartner Dataquest (NYSE: IT) senior analyst Shahin Naftchi.
Silver Lining?
But while worldwide shipments have been stymied by economic factors, the U.S. market
offers server makers some hope.
The U.S. server market showed nearly a 10 percent increase in the second quarter,
according to Gartner, with unit shipments totaling 482,647.
The numbers are sweetest for Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ). The computing giant's acquisition of
Compaq led the new HP into the first-place position in worldwide rankings, with 30.5
percent of the market.
But the market trends are bittersweet for Dell (Nasdaq: DELL). Despite Dell Computer having gained 18
percent market share worldwide, the company fell to second place.
Meanwhile, the HP-Compaq merger also shook up U.S. vendor rankings. The new HP assumed
the top spot, with 26.8 percent of the market. Dell was forced into second place with a
24 percent market share, followed by rivals IBM (NYSE: IBM) and Sun.
Looking Ahead
This is the second quarter of positive growth for the U.S. market, prompting analyst
speculation that the region might be signaling the end of the market turndown.
Still, the market has yet to show signs of consistent revenue growth, making it unclear
whether many companies would have enough confidence to invest heavily in new server
equipment.
The market shows lots of server consolidation, as older one- and two-way servers are
consolidated into newer, faster, one- to eight-way servers, according to Aberdeen Group
analyst Peter Kastner.
"We had lots of low-end Internet edge servers purchased in the dot-com bubble and in
anticipation of Y2K," Kastner told the E-Commerce Times. "Those servers that are apt to
be replaced next year [will be replaced] with blade servers costing only a couple of
thousand dollars, which have five to 10 times the processing capacity [of older servers]."
That is an indicator that the server market will not return to prerecession health.
Kastner noted that, while server unit shipments might be increasing modestly, revenues
are still declining.
HP's Play
Will the new HP maintain its lead in the worldwide and U.S. markets amid the current
uncertainty? Mirroring their advice regarding the server market itself, analysts said
the answer is, "Wait and see."
"Since the merger of HP and Compaq is still in its early stage, HP is still faced with
the challenges of transitioning its product lines and integrating the two corporate
cultures," said Jeffrey Hewitt, principal analyst for Gartner
Dataquest's Servers Worldwide program.
"On the other hand, the post-merger challenges facing HP may benefit customers if the
company decides to offer better prices and attractive contracts to protect its installed
customer base."
Report: Summer Retail Activity Heats Up Web July 29, 2002
Nielsen//NetRatings analyst Dawn Brozek said the additional visitors are probably a
result of heavily promoted sales designed to clear shelves for the fall season.
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