By Paul A. Greenberg E-Commerce Times
01/30/01 5:30 PM PT
The key to e-commerce becoming the norm rather than a cultural novelty
is to mainstream it, and the poster child for that shift is online travel.
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While other dot-com businesses falter and stall one by one,
Web sites in the e-travel sector keep on flying.
There are a number of reasons for the online travel
triumph, but mostly it has to do with the fact that
booking travel reservations was computerized long before
being computerized was de rigeur. The Sabre reservation
system, for example, was used by travel agencies
long before consumers ever considered owning their
own computers.
Online travel sites have now put the robust
technology that agents were using for
years into the hands of the customers.
It was a
peaceful transfer of power -- unless
you ask the travel agents themselves. Trade
groups such as the American
Society of Travel Agents (ASTA) assert the travel
industry will be faced with
anti-competitive price hikes and limited choices, if consumers
gain direct access to the ticketing process at travel mega-sites.
Hold on to that thought.
Jet Stream
Remember sitting across from your travel agent while
he or she hammered out a million key strokes? It
seemed so high-tech and mysterious way back then.
Now, as I book my own reservations on a regular
basis, I marvel at how fast I can search, select and reserve
seats, hotel rooms and cars.
The technology is there, but the
key to electronic commerce becoming the norm,
rather than a cultural novelty,
is to mainstream it. If there is a
poster child for the success of this shift, it's online travel.
Numbers Game
As usual, the numbers tell the story: First consider
the rapid acquisition of new users. A study by
cPulse found that the number of new users to niche
travel sites increased 82 percent in the third quarter of
2000, as compared to one year earlier.
A study by PhoCusWright found 21 million people
bought travel services online in 2000, compared with
11 million the previous year. Of those 21 million,
7 million of them now buy their travel
exclusively online.
PhoCusWright also found 80
percent of respondents said they frequent travel sites
because the sites are easy-to-use. Fully 91 percent said
they use travel Web sites because the price is right.
According to venerable Forrester Research, online
travel sales will skyrocket to US$29 billion by 2003.
Up and Away
Still, if online travel is to sustain itself as the
major player it is already becoming, the free
enterprise system will need to shift into high
gear. If there is one thing we have learned the
hard way in the e-commerce realm, it is to never rest on your
laurels, and never, never get too comfortable.
The two biggest players in the Net travel game
understand this principle, to their credit.
Just last week, Microsoft's (Nasdaq: MSFT) travel
giant, Expedia, unveiled a revamped site that is both
easy-on-the-eyes and simple-to-use. Four years of blood,
sweat and tears -- and about $30 million -- produced
a powerful, streamlined site that allows users to find more
combinations on pricing and schedules, and gives them
the option to sort flights by price, flight duration and
departure times.
Best of all, if the user changes his or her mind in
the middle of a booking, the choices made can be
revised on the current screen, rather than starting over.
For those who think major competitor Travelocity is
intimidated by Expedia's new muscle, think again.
Simultaneously with Expedia's splashy debut,
Travelocity introduced its own next big thing. The
site's latest technology lets users click on
lowest destination fares and instantly see a
three-month calendar of the flight's availability.
Travelocity spent a year and a half, and $5 million,
to bring its new site into the gate.
Big Bird
Ready to take off this summer is Orbitz, the mega-site being
created by the major airlines themselves. Orbitz
claims it will offer broader fare searching capabilities
and lower costs. Orbitz, however, was supposed
to debut last summer, but wasn't quite ready.
Now, 20 state attorneys general have asked the
U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT) to carefully
investigate the antitrust issues raised by the site,
questions that were already being reviewed by the DOT and the
U.S. Department of Justice.
Even so, other groups, such as ASTA, are finding
some of their own gripes neutralized. ASTA
complained to the Justice Department that the big
travel sites would pose unfair competition and force
them into oblivion.
While it is true some mom-and-pop
agencies may fade out, the big online companies
have already absorbed many of the displaced
personnel from brick-and-mortar companies.
The online travel industry may prove itself a
shining example for other industries striving to
find a model that works wonders with clicks and
mortar.
In the meantime, fasten your seatbelts because e-travel is
ready for takeoff.
What do you think? Let's talk about it.
Note: The opinions expressed by our columnists are their own and do not necessarily reflect the views of the E-Commerce Times or its management.
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