Welcome | Sign In
ECommerceTimes.com
Gaming

VIDEO GAME INDUSTRY WATCH
Can Microsoft Win the Online Game?

Print Version
E-Mail Article
Reprints
Can Microsoft Win the Online Game?

Now that the major video game consoles have been on the market for two and a half years -- or more -- hardware sales have slowed considerably. Online services, however, still have room to grow. InStat says subscriber bases will take off in the coming years, and Microsoft's Xbox platform may come out the big winner.


eMarketer Whitepaper: Optimizing the E-Commerce Experience
From the Web to the Contact Center, are you prepared to proactively engage and keep your savvy customers? Read how e-commerce leaders are optimizing their sites with ratings, reviews, live help, Web analytics, mobile and more.

It's been another busy week in the gaming world. Topping the news was the announcement that game designer Will Wright is leaving Electronic Arts (Nasdaq: ERTS) to head up his entertainment think tank, Stupid Fun Club, full-time.

Elsewhere, Take-Two may have another hit on its hands -- this time in downloadable form. Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) will extend Xbox 360 warranties, and a report from InStat predicts the console maker will rake in a wad of cash as its number of online gaming subscriptions continues to grow.

Finally, Nintendo has announced the release date for its Wii MotionPlus add-on and the upcoming title "Sports Resort."

A 'Stupid' Move?

Will Wright, the game designer who cofounded Maxis 20 years ago, has announced his intention to leave EA, the company that later purchased Maxis, to devote his time to an entertainment think tank focusing on the development of new intellectual properties aimed at video games, movies, television, the Internet and toys.

"The entertainment industry is moving rapidly into an era of revolutionary change. Stupid Fun Club will explore new possibilities that are emerging from this sublime chaos and create new forms of entertainment on a variety of platforms," said Wright.

Not that EA will be cut out of the superstar "Sims" and "SimCity" creator's life entirely. The company will front an equal percentage with Wright to fund Stupid Fun Club, along with a group of principal shareholders. EA will also have dibs on development rights to game concepts that the think tank comes up with.

However, while that may sound like a good deal Increase Customer Sales with Email Marketing -- Free Trial from VerticalResponse for EA, the publisher's involvement in the new project is really an effort to make lemonade from lemons, according to Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Morgan analyst.

"The Will Wright sponsorship is damage control by EA. They would vastly prefer that Will remain an employee, as they could keep all of the profits he generates. By entering into a joint venture with him, they are merely acknowledging that he is entitled to keep some of the upside from his ideas. It is preferable to keep their options open -- right of first refusal -- to losing his services altogether," Pachter told the E-Commerce Times.

If It Ain't Broke ...

"Grand Theft Auto IV: The Lost and Damned," the latest version in the blockbuster franchise, has reportedly reached 1 million downloads. Available exclusively through the Xbox Live subscriber service, the US$20 title is the first of two episodic expansion packs planned for the Xbox 360 console.

Its popularity is not surprising, according to Pachter. However, "this is the first download offered by Take-Two, so it's hard to compare to other games. My estimate was 1 million back in February, so I'm hardly surprised that 'reports are circulating' quoting my estimate," he pointed out.

The problem for Take-Two is that the company appears able to sing just one note. While the "GTA" series has brought the company significant revenue -- along with a bit of controversy -- other titles under the company's umbrella have not generated anything remotely close. If gamers tire of the series, what does the company have left?

"The content was highly rated, and there is little risk of gamers tiring of the series over the near term. Over the longer term, of course, there is potential for 'GTA' to get stale, but we don't forecast out that far," Pachter noted.

Gamers Flock to Console-Based Online Gaming Services

InStat has found that while console sales Download Free eBook - The Edge of Success: 9 Building Blocks to Double Your Sales have declined during the global recession, one area -- online gaming subscriptions -- are a bright spot that the research firm predicts will continue to grow.

Unit sales of consoles will decline as 2010 draws closer, the firm predicts, a result of the weakened economy and a peak in each hardware maker's console lifecycle. However, with consoles' sizable installed base and growing consumer awareness about online gaming, InStat expects combined console and handheld subscribers to grow to a projected 20.4 percent by 2013.

Each console maker is positioned to generate hundreds of millions of dollars in annual online gaming revenue from offerings like online service subscriptions, content downloads and online advertising. Microsoft's Xbox Live service will lead the way, InStat predicts, with revenues anticipated to top $1 billion by 2013.

"Microsoft currently has 11 million people paying $50 per year for Xbox Live and has other download revenues from its XBL service. My guess is that total XBL revenues are close to $700 million annually right now, and I would bet that one-third of new Xbox 360 purchasers join as paying Xbox Live members. So it will only take another three years of normal growth without price increases for Microsoft to get to $1 billion annually," Pachter explained.

Adding to Microsoft's bottom line was the announcement last week that Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN) has begun selling Xbox Live Arcade games. The massive online retailer is the first to offer the titles outside of the official XLA site or the Xbox 360 Marketplace. The 100 titles range in price between $5 and $20.

Speaking of Microsoft, the company extended Xbox 360 warranty coverage to three years for users plagued by the E74 hardware error code. E74 is a problem reportedly associated with the so-called Red Ring of Death hardware failure that vexed many users of the console shortly after it was originally released in 2005. The company also plans to reimburse users who have paid for repairs resulting from the error.

"The bottom line is that Microsoft already took the hit for the Red Ring of Death failure from a couple of years ago, and as a practical matter, Xbox 360s are cheaper to fix now than they were then, so it's probably not very expensive," Pachter said.

Week's Not Complete Without a Bit of Nintendo News

Nintendo has finally revealed the release date for its Wii MotionPlus add-on, which the company said will greatly enhance the console's ability to track users' movements. Priced at $19.99, the accessory will go on sale June 8 in the U.S. and June 12 in Europe. That's just in time to be bundled with "Wii Sports Resort," a title set to come out July 26.

Finally, a job posting on Netflix (Nasdaq: NFLX) has stirred up rumors that the DVD and streaming video provider plans to open up shop on other consoles beyond the Xbox 360. Apparently, the company is looking for an "Engineering Leader -- Gaming Platforms." With over 1 million Xbox Live Gold users logging onto Netflix through their consoles, one wonders if the company has inked deals with either Nintendo or Sony (NYSE: SNE) -- or both.


Print Version E-Mail Article Reprints More by Walaika Haskins


Talkback: Join the Discussion.
First Right of Refusal
HankMcCoy
Posted 2009-04-17
Sounds to me like EA is still going to have rights over whatever Mr. Wright tries to come up ...

More by Walaika Haskins

ZeeVee's Zinc Browser Gets Web TV Right
April 29, 2009
The Zinc Browser from ZeeVee updates the old Zviewer with tighter navigation and better catalog options. The finished application offers a great way to find TV shows and movies anywhere on the Web, regardless of whether they're hosted by Hulu, CBS, Netflix, Amazon's on-demand service or others.
Game Sales Sputter, 'GTA' Fails to Steal the Show
April 23, 2009
It may appear as though the video game industry is beginning to join the economy at large in its slump, as March numbers from NPD were less than encouraging. However, a year-over-year perspective is difficult due to the timing of game releases and holidays. Meanwhile, Take-Two hasn't seen much success in introducing its violent "GTA" series to the Nintendo DS.
Nintendo's DSi Gathers Buyers While Wiis Gather Dust
April 09, 2009
The new Nintendo DSi has hit the shelves in the U.S., and early reports indicate sales are skipping along nicely, though they'll have a long way to go to reach the original DS' heights. Nintendo's Wii has also consistently sold well since its release years ago; however, a new report suggests that once a Wii makes it into a buyer's living room, it doesn't get used as often as its rivals.
Don't miss a story -- sign up for our FREE e-mail newsletters and view the latest headlines at a glance.
Tech News Flash [ View Sample ]
E-Commerce Minute [ View Sample ]
ECT News Network Weekly Newsletter [ View Sample ]
Shortcuts
ECT News Network Information
Reader Services
Corporate
ECT News Network