By Keith Regan E-Commerce Times
06/20/03 10:53 AM PT
Regulatory concerns may carry the most weight with shareholders, according to Gartner analyst Betsy Burton. With Connecticut's attorney general already vowing to block the deal, others may be ready to follow suit.
PeopleSoft's board of directors has formally voted to recommend that shareholders reject Oracle's (Nasdaq: ORCL) sweetened takeover bid, saying the deal still undervalues the smaller company. Oracle's new offer of US$19.50 per share, made public Wednesday, is still "not in the best interest of shareholders," according to PeopleSoft.
The board cited four main concerns: likely regulatory delays and possible antitrust roadblocks to the merger; the fact that the offer still "undervalues" PeopleSoft's future worth; Oracle's stated intention to discontinue some PeopleSoft products; and the fact that the offer could be withdrawn by Oracle at any time.
Thanks Anyway
The offer is "highly conditional, faces significant regulatory delays and uncertainty, and threatens serious damage to our business," said PeopleSoft CEO Craig Conway, who seems to have toned down his rhetoric surrounding the deal after lashing out at Oracle last week.
The move by Oracle to add $1.2 billion to its original tender offer put PeopleSoft's board in a difficult position, according to analysts, because the new price is much closer to what shareholders had hoped to get. In fact, it represents a premium of about 20 percent over recent trading prices of PeopleSoft stock.
But PeopleSoft is sticking to its guns, with Conway saying his company remains committed to its acquisition of J.D. Edwards. That deal got under way Thursday despite a host of attempts by Oracle to disrupt it.
Deadly Delays
Regulatory concerns may carry the most weight with shareholders, according to Gartner (NYSE: IT) analyst Betsy Burton. With Connecticut's attorney general already vowing to block the deal, others may be ready to follow suit.
"Oracle may yet take control of PeopleSoft, but it could take a lot longer than anyone expects," Burton told the E-Commerce Times. "In that scenario, shareholders worry about the damage to the business of all the companies involved. A long period of uncertainty and relative chaos could be deadly."
Indeed, analysts say there are already signs that customers of the various players involved are beginning to get edgy, with PeopleSoft moving to soothe fears by building contingency language into licensing agreements. Meanwhile, outside rivals like SAP (NYSE: SAP) and Siebel are scrambling to take advantage of the turmoil by launching aggressive sales and marketing campaigns.
Beefing Up
Hardly playing the part of the passive acquisition target, J.D. Edwards revealed it has changed the compensation packages top executives are slated to receive if its merger with PeopleSoft goes through.
The new terms are aimed at making it worthwhile for top Edwards executives to stay on board through completion of the merger and subsequent integration, the company said. J.D. Edwards filed suit against Oracle last week, alleging that its bid for PeopleSoft is designed to thwart the merger.
Oracle Ups PeopleSoft Bid by $1.2B June 18, 2003
Oracle spokesperson Jim Finn told the E-Commerce Times that the company raised its bid after meeting with owners of PeopleSoft stock. "We heard the deal seemed to make a lot of sense ... but the price wasn't what they were hoping for," he said.
PeopleSoft Rejects Oracle Bid; J.D. Edwards Sues June 13, 2003
J.D. Edwards alleges in its lawsuit that when Charles Phillips, formerly a Morgan Stanley analyst, joined Oracle less than a month ago, he brought with him knowledge of J.D. Edwards' business and its possible deal with PeopleSoft.
Oracle Speaks - and the Whiners Should Listen June 11, 2003
Oracle needs any growth it can get in the applications market. That opportunity would have been thwarted by the PeopleSoft/J.D. Edwards deal, and Oracle knew it.
Inside Oracle's High-Stakes PeopleSoft Grab June 09, 2003
Forrester analyst Byron Miller suggested that Oracle's strategy might end up backfiring. "Just because Oracle takes over [PeopleSoft's customer base] doesn't mean PeopleSoft people will stay in Oracle's camp. SAP may end up being the beneficiary."
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