By Keith Regan E-Commerce Times
03/08/02 10:26 AM PT
This will be Netflix' second attempt to go public. The firm first filed in April 2000,
just as the Nasdaq began what would turn out to be an historic free-fall.
DVD rental site Netflix.com is hoping a rejuvenated
stock market can breathe life back into its long-shelved initial public offering.
Netflix filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for permission to raise up
to US$115 million through the offering. No date has been set.
The company, which launched in April of 1998, became the second dot-com to hop on the IPO
bandwagon this week. On Tuesday, discount e-tailer
Overstock.com announced its intention to go public
and raise as much as $37 million in the process.
IPO-a-Go-Go?
But Morningstar.com IPO analyst George Nichols told the E-Commerce Times it is too early
to declare the dot-com pipeline open for business.
Even with at least one more highly anticipated Internet offering waiting in the wings,
from search engine Google, investors remain skeptical
of pure-plays, Nichols said.
"The IPO pipeline is starting to show a pickup, but it's generally from spin-offs from
established companies," he noted.
Paypal, which successfully began trading on the Nasdaq exchange late last month, was a
special case, he added.
Try, Try Again
This will be Netflix' second attempt to go public. The firm first filed in April 2000,
just as the Nasdaq began what would turn out to be an historic free-fall. Netflix
formally withdrew its offering in July of that year.
In the interim, the company's business has seen rapid growth, with annual revenue
increasing from $5 million in 1999 to $35 million in 2000 and to $75 million last year.
Netflix has yet to turn a profit, though it did cut its losses substantially, from $57
million in 2000 to $38 million last year. It also is running short of cash, and said in
its filing that it has just $16 million on hand. The company said it will use part of its
IPO proceeds to repay about $13 million in debt.
Growing Membership
Netflix noted it now has 500,000 members, each of whom pays a monthly fee to receive
unlimited DVD rentals.
Depending on the level of service chosen, customers receive from two to eight movies at a
time, returning them through postage-paid mailers. When each movie is returned, Netflix
sends out the next film on the customer's list. Membership fees start at $13.95 for two
movies.
In its filing, Netflix cited research showing that U.S. consumers spent more than $32
billion on DVD and video rentals in 2001. The company also asserted that the industry is
"undergoing a rapid technology transition away from VHS to DVD."
The filing quoted the Consumer Electronics Association, which called the DVD player "the
fastest-selling consumer electronics device in history," citing a doubling of the number
of players in U.S. homes during 2001 alone.
Risks Aplenty
But Netflix acknowledged that even with rapid consumer adoption of DVDs, it faces a
number of potential unknowns going forward. For instance, because it uses the U.S. Postal
Service to deliver DVDs, it is susceptible to both price increases and a loss of consumer
confidence in the mail delivery system.
Netflix also warned of increased competition from studio-backed video-on-demand services,
including Disney-backed Movies.com, which was formed
last fall.
Another risk factor: throwaway DVDs.
"We are currently aware that certain entities are attempting to develop disposable DVDs.
As currently contemplated, disposable DVDs would allow a consumer to view a DVD for an
unlimited number of times," the Netflix filing noted.
Overstock.com Follows PayPal's IPO Path March 06, 2002
By choosing W.R. Hambrecht as its underwriter, Overstock has decided to go public through
a Dutch auction, which lets retail investors bid on the stock before it is priced for sale.
Related Stories
PayPal IPO Off to Spectacular Start February 15, 2002
The fact that PayPal pulled off its IPO came as a surprise to some analysts, who noted
that the company continues to lose money even as investor tastes have turned toward
profitable firms.
Legal Darts Won't Pop PayPal's IPO Balloon February 08, 2002
Amid the confusion, one thing seems clear: If a delay of a day or two is bad news, a
longer delay is even worse.
Analysts: PayPal IPO Should Pay Off February 05, 2002
Even if it can post a profit, PayPal faces other obstacles: Four states are considering
regulating PayPal, and the company also depends heavily on EBay.
Peering Up the E-Commerce IPO Pipeline November 12, 2001
'There will be a next wave of e-commerce IPOs, but it's not cresting just yet and it
won't look like the last one," Richard Warner, associate professor of e-business at
Chicago-Kent School of Law, told the E-Commerce Times.
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