By Jim Battey and Clare Saliba E-Commerce Times
12/26/01 2:09 PM PT
Despite the uptick in sales and e-retail stock prices, some Internet analysts
have hinted that online holiday sales may not grow at all this year.
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Many of the top e-commerce companies are enjoying a happy holiday season, with
Internet heavyweights Yahoo! (Nasdaq: YHOO) and
Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN) among the sites
enjoying significant sales gains.
Yahoo! said Wednesday that its sales volume surged more than 86 percent during
the post-Thanksgiving buying period over last year's levels. Amazon is also posting
strong holiday sales, according to a research note issued Wednesday by Safa Rashtchy, an
Internet analyst at USB Piper Jaffray.
Rashtchy's report stated that full holiday traffic and purchases
on Amazon showed continued strength in units purchased amid a surprise increase
in electronics prices.
The investment firm also said Amazon's strength in unit
sales will more than offset lower overall average prices, boosting top-line
growth. USB Piper Jaffray said they expect Amazon to meet or beat its
fourth-quarter revenue and profit targets.
'Critical Period'
In all, Yahoo! estimated that its users spent US$10.3 billion online in the
fourth quarter of 2001, with the most popular product categories ranging
from video game consoles and digital cameras to toys and apparel.
"The holiday season is a critical period for Yahoo! Shopping, and we are
proud to announce that our Yahoo! Shopping business has maintained extremely
strong growth momentum," said Yahoo! shopping vice president and general
manager Rob Solomon.
"Our commitment to enhancing our consumer and merchant
offerings is one of the driving factors behind our ability to successfully
capture increasingly more market share."
Slashing Prices
Seeking to build on this momentum, Yahoo! also announced that it is
launching a post-holiday sales center that will be promoted in its shopping
and auctions channels.
Some Internet marketers are taking a cue from real-world retailers, which are slashing
prices to bargain-basement levels in an effort to prop up sagging
earnings figures.
Yahoo! said that companies such as Eddie Bauer, Eluxury.com, Godiva, Old Navy, and
SonyStyle will be offering exclusive online specials, as well as winter clearance sales
of 50 to 70 percent off their merchandise.
Stocks Surging
The dose of good news from Yahoo! and USB Piper Jaffray's positive Amazon
report helped stoke investor optimism in mid-day trading Wednesday. Yahoo!
gained $1.50 to $18.00 per share, while Amazon added $1.20 to pass $11.00 per share.
Online auction
giant eBay (Nasdaq: EBAY) also received a
nice boost, posting a healthy $2.80 per share increase in early trading to go to $66.60.
Too Little, Too Late?
Despite the uptick in retail stocks, some Internet analysts have hinted
that online holiday sales may not grow at all this year. Last week,
Forrester Research cut its estimate for
spending during the holiday season to $8 billion, which would represent a
significant drop from the $10 billion it said consumers spent during the
2000 season.
Forrester had originally forecast an $11 billion holiday season, which would have
represented a modest 10 percent increase.
However, industry analysts said a surge in late-season online traffic holds
the possibility that 2001 sales expectations may be exceeded.
Also last week, Jupiter said the majority of online shopping activity seemed to be occurring closer to Christmas as
consumers held out to try to get better deals on their purchases. Jupiter is
still predicting sales of $11.9 billion for this holiday season.