By Michael Mahoney E-Commerce Times
08/31/01 5:57 PM PT
As e-tailers continue focusing on profitability,
they typically experience higher margins but slower growth, one analyst said.
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U.S. e-commerce sales in the second quarter of 2001 dropped 1.8 percent from the previous
quarter, the Census Bureau
of the U.S. Department of Commerce announced Thursday.
Online sales for Q2, not adjusted for seasonal, holiday or trading-day differences, were
US$7.458 billion -- 0.9 percent of total retail sales. In contrast,
overall retail sales actually grew
10.8 percent during the quarter, the report said.
However, not all news from the online sector is discouraging. Year-over-year e-commerce
sales actually grew 24.7 percent, according to the Commerce Department.
Additionally, the latest "State of Online Retailing" report, issued Wednesday by
Shop.org
and the Boston Consulting Group
(BCG), found that per-customer acquisition costs for e-tailers
continue to drop, falling from $18 in Q1 to $14 in Q2.
The Commerce Department said that overall, consumer retail spending grew at its slowest
pace in nine months. However, analysts disagree about the extent to which
larger economic trends directly impact e-tailers.
Pick A Side
"In the early days of online retail, seasonality didn't even matter because growth rates
were so steep," BCG e-commerce manager James Vogtle told the E-Commerce Times. "I think at
this point, the online channel is a significant portion of retail that will be affected by
general retail trends."
Others argue that because online retail is in the
early growth stage, there is still
plenty of room to grow significantly, even if retail as a whole does not grow at all.
However, Vogtle said, when you look at the biggest online categories -- such as
travel, books and computer hardware -- you start to see a different picture.
"Those categories tend to be more discretionary, so they may be more impacted by the
downturn of the economy, as opposed to apparel and groceries, which are two of the
largest categories offline," said Vogtle.
Choosing Profits Over Growth
According to Vogtle, there is another important factor to consider when looking at the
latest sales numbers. As e-tailers continue focusing on profitability, they typically
experience higher margins but slower growth.
In fact, though per-customer acquisition spending is down,
conversion rates have dropped as
well, from 2.3 percent in Q1 to 2.2 percent in Q2, according to the Shop.org/BCG report.
"Our hypothesis is that as retailers are upping their strategies to bring higher profits,
they are raising prices or trimming back on the features and service levels they were
providing in the past," Vogtle said.
Getting Direct
One of the fundamental drivers behind the lower acquisition costs remains the switch from
mass marketing to direct or targeted marketing efforts.
According to Shop.org/BCG, 35 percent of marketing budgets in Q2 2001 were spent on
proprietary, targeted media (such as e-mail, catalogs and direct mail),
up from 21 percent in 2000.
Portal advertising remains the mass marketing channel of choice for many e-tailers,
accounting for 23 percent of marketing budgets, the Shop.org/BCG report said.
"We expected awhile ago that portals would become less important as consumers became more
familiar with Web sites, but we haven't seen that happen," said Vogtle. "At this point,
[portal advertising] is unlikely to increase, but it's unclear whether it will stay
steady or decrease."